0751 - FiveThirtyEight gives Romney an 8.4% chance of winning. This is almost exactly the odds of rolling two six-dice and totaling exactly a 4.
0755 - Races to watch include Ohio, Virginia, Colorado, Florida, New Hampshire, Iowa, Nevada, North Carolina, Wisconsin, and Pennsylvania. Obama's leading in all of 'em but Florida and North Carolina.
Senate races include Ohio, Wisconsin, Virginia, Massachusetts, Missouri, New Mexico, Indiana, Connecticut, Pennsylvania and Florida.
1250 - Looking at the schedule of poll closings, we should get a pretty good idea early on what kind of night we're in for. North Carolina, Florida, Virginia, New Hampshire, Pennsylvania and Ohio all close by 2000. If Obama wins North Carolina and/or Florida, turn out the lights, the party's over. Winning Virginia +/- New Hampshire makes Ohio not matter all that much, as Obama'd probably still get to 270 even without it.
1832 - Drudge's headline:
EXIT POLLS TIGHTSeems like the sort of mixed result that will keep people coming back to Drudge's website all night.
R: NC, FL
O: NH, PA, MI, NV
TOSSUP: OH, VA, CO, IA
1846 - OK, I kind of expected more action during the day today. At 7, network coverage starts, so there should be some motion soon.